1-3 DAY Forecast FAQ Thursday Central Plains, southwestern Midwest — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: Normal Storms will form along and ahead of a cold front today into tonight, with moderate to high amounts of CAPE on the order of 1500-3000+ J/kg to support strong to
F5/EF-5 tornadoes are a force of nature most folks hope to never come face-to-face with. From 1950-2010, they made up only 0.1 percent of all tornadoes, but caused over 20 percent of all tornado deaths. Including 2011’s six additional EF-5s, there have been 58 F5/EF-5
1-3 DAY Forecast FAQ Monday Northern Plains — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Normal With a fairly significant cap in place along with high LCLs in the warm sector, it will be difficult for storms to produce tornadoes. As storms develop in the far northeastern Plains
On March 18, 2012 one of the first Plains storm chase opportunities of the year focused on the Texas panhandle into southwest Oklahoma. Several tornadoes would end up being spotted. For the rest of the week, a storm system slowly moved to the East Coast.
I recently posted graphs showing the raw totals of tornadoes both by month and by day. They indicated a monthly peak in May and a daily peak from May into June. While full tornado numbers by day do show at least the general climatology of the
1-3 DAY Forecast FAQ Thursday Southeast, southern Plains — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: High The highest tornado potential comes with the line of storms working their way through the Southeast today, with a low risk of tornadoes overnight in eastern LA and southern MS as
We took a cursory look at March tornado deaths in the general overview of March tornadoes — there were 676 in total from 1950-2010. Much like February, major parts of the March overall total are from significant tornado outbreaks like those in 1952 (209 killed),
NOTE: Our POTENTIAL category has been adjusted to better balance the wording with the true risk. Please visit our Forecast FAQ page for the updated descriptions. 1-3 DAY Monday Southern and eastern Plains, western Midwest — POTENTIAL: High — CONFIDENCE: High Today is primed for
Instability is growing and we are getting closer to storm initiation along the dry line this afternoon.
Pictures of tornadoes are usually pretty amazing, right? We think so. We’ve recently started up a group on flickr called (of course) U.S. Tornadoes, where people can tag their tornado and/or supercell photos to show them off to other folks who find the imagery fascinating.
1-3 DAY See our new “Forecast FAQ” which explains the maps as well as the POTENTIAL and CONFIDENCE meanings. Thursday No tornadic activity expected. UPDATE: Isolated tornadoes are possible in Michigan today as some storms have grown mature enough in a high instability, low/moderate shear
Tornadoes can happen — and have happened — all year long, though spring and summer are well known as the active period. Simply summing up 62 years of data, from 1950-2011, is one way to look at expected trends of yearly activity across the United