A disturbance will challenge the strength of the Death Ridge today through Wednesday before the pattern becomes quiet again.
The pattern has taken a quick change to the quiet side across the U.S.
While there were some gems in May, it was slim pickings for much of the month. What does early June have in store?
Tornado threats in the Plains in late May? Yeah, not a big surprise, but today and Friday are showing good tornado potential before a weaker pattern sets up for next week.
This will probably be the last “regular” forecast for this year, though I will issue special forecasts if a decent tornado setup comes along.
Most activity will be limited to the High Plains this week. Eastern Texas and coastal Louisiana could see brief tornadoes today and Tuesday as a tropical disturbance drifts north.
Today has the best chance for tornadoes through the next seven days, with risks waning significantly after tomorrow as we start to see a more typical summertime pattern of hit-or-miss setups. “Early because I’m going into work soon and won’t be out until the evening”
Early action looks to be over the north-central U.S., but we’ll at least start on a fairly quiet note today and tomorrow. Better shear in place for this weekend, but we’ll have to see how many supercells can get cranking within the more favorable setup.
Climatologically-favored areas edition. Lots of threats on the High Plains and up in the northern Plains and northwestern Midwest in the coming week. Programming Note: Starting next week, I will have a new job that involves rotating shifts, so consistent mid to late afternoon posts
Looks like mid-week next week could have at least a couple of interesting upslope days if the pattern shakes out as expected. Until then, it’s looking fairly quiet. Abridged version again today. Life, amirite? 1-3 Day Friday Nebraska, northern Kansas — TORNADO RANGE: 0-1 —
Looks like an active day shaping up across portions of Nebraska, South Dakota, Iowa and Minnesota today. Additional smaller threats are likely throughout the week.
Doing an abbreviated version today due to a busy schedule. 1-3 Day Thursday Central Colorado, northeastern New Mexico — TORNADO RANGE: 0-1 — CONFIDENCE: High Expected Tornado Hotspot: None ArkLaTex — TORNADO RANGE: 2-5 — CONFIDENCE: High Expected Tornado Hotspot: Central Texas Friday High Plains