1-3 DAY Forecast FAQ Thursday Southeast — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Normal Low to moderate instability and good upper-level dynamics provide a low tornado threat in the Southeast today and tonight. Mostly unidirectional shear and extensive cloud cover will limit the tornado potential. One area
A localized tornado outbreak hit north Texas on April 3. We plotted the tracks.
As seen in the map posted yesterday, if it’s April, north Texas sure looks like a hot spot for tornado activity. The April 3, 2012 Dallas/Ft Worth outbreak occurred only one calendar day removed from the metro’s deadliest tornado (an F3) that happened on April 2,
The text below was included in the Area Forecast Discussion from the Dallas/Ft. Worth National Weather Service this morning. It goes into what the storm setup looked like the morning of the outbreak, with details about how the smaller-scale features aided in tornadic supercell formation.
An historic local tornado outbreak hit the Dallas metropolitan area and surrounds. Luckily, most of the tornadoes that impacted the highest population were not super intense.
Tornado peak begins in April, with the South, the southern Plains and Midwest all favored areas. Our county map gives more detail to areas impacted most often.
1-3 DAY Forecast FAQ Monday Southern Plains — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: Normal An upper-level disturbance will work into the southern Plains late today into tonight, with the height falls and associated cap erosion eventually creating an environment favorable for isolated tornadic storms. Timing and
The main storm system containing the tornado threat has slowed dramatically in the forecast, so new risk areas accommodate the slower storm progression
The final week of March was one full of minor tornado threats, but very little in the way of eventual tornado activity across the United States.
Last week, we took a first crack at total (F0/EF0+) tornado days in the U.S. during the current 1991-2010 averaging period. There was an impressive number of days which had tornadoes in all twenty years. While all tornadoes are potentially dangerous, those that attain significant
1-3 DAY Forecast FAQ Thursday Central Plains, southwestern Midwest — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: Normal Storms will form along and ahead of a cold front today into tonight, with moderate to high amounts of CAPE on the order of 1500-3000+ J/kg to support strong to
F5/EF-5 tornadoes are a force of nature most folks hope to never come face-to-face with. From 1950-2010, they made up only 0.1 percent of all tornadoes, but caused over 20 percent of all tornado deaths. Including 2011’s six additional EF-5s, there have been 58 F5/EF-5