Tornado Threat Special Update: April 1-4, 2012

For the sake of brevity, I’ll just say that the main storm system containing the tornado threat has slowed dramatically in the forecast, so I decided to send out an update with new risk areas to accommodate the slower storm progression. There is still a fairly large amount of uncertainty with the storm evolution as the models struggle to come to a consensus even in the short range. The potential and forecast confidence for each day listed after the break.

Forecast FAQ

Sunday

Ohio Valley — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Normal

Monday

Southern Plains — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: Low

Tuesday

Southern Plains, ArkLaTex — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Low

Wednesday

Southern Delta — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Low