1-3 DAY
No tornadic activity expected.
Friday
Eastern Gulf Coast — POTENTIAL: Very Low — CONFIDENCE: High
There will be enough instability and directional shear ahead of a cold front that storms could rotate and potentially produce a tornado.
Saturday
Southern Georgia, Florida — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: High
Speed shear will be very weak, but with instability up to 1500 J/kg along with some directional shear, storms that form along/ahead of the cold front could mature enough to put down a tornado.
4-7 DAY
Eastern Georgia, South Carolina — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Normal
Similar setup as Saturday, but with lower instability and better low-level shear.
Monday
No tornadic activity expected.
Tuesday
No tornadic activity expected.
Wednesday
Central High Plains — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: Low
A lee trough with favorable directional shear and low to moderate CAPE could trigger supercells capable of producing tornadoes, but speed shear will probably be on the weak side as the upper-level forcing hangs back over the Southwest and has little impact on the day’s setup.
Jason Persoff, MD, SFHM, is recognized globally for his expertise in storm chasing. He earned…
Tornado numbers were near or above average. A chase season peak in June provided numerous…
One of the more widespread tornado outbreaks in years, from Iowa and Illinois to Arkansas.
The active start of the year could be a sign, but a mid-March pattern change…
A near average year for tornadoes across the country, with a cool season bend. We've…
The twister quickly popped up near sunset and rapidly turned violent.
