It’s the start of peak chase season, but I hope you like chasing in the jungle, otherwise the next seven days will be slim pickings for chasers. Low tornado counts are good news for everyone else.
No tornadoes expected.
Wednesday – Eastern Texas, Louisiana, southern Mississippi
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 6-14 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Moderate instability, good low-level directional shear, good/excellent speed shear.
Cons: Advancing cold front will make storms line-out, some of the best storms may form north of the warm front, staying elevated.
Thursday – Southeast
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 2-6 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Good low-level directional shear, good speed shear, good upper-level dynamics.
Cons: Mostly linear storm mode due to unidirectional mid-to-upper level winds, low instability.
Friday – Eastern Mid-Atlantic, southern New England
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 1-4 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Decent low-level directional shear, good upper-level dynamics.
Cons: Low instability, linear storm mode.
Saturday
No tornadoes expected.
Sunday
No tornadoes expected.
Monday
No tornadoes expected.
Jason Persoff, MD, SFHM, is recognized globally for his expertise in storm chasing. He earned…
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The twister quickly popped up near sunset and rapidly turned violent.
