Tornado Threat Forecast: May 11-17, 2018

The next seven days might follow the “When it’s May, you chase.” motto as we enter peak climatology for tornadoes. The tornado ingredients are trying to come together as early as Sunday in the more favored chase territory of the central and southern Plains, but how well they all come together through mid-week next week remains to be seen.

Abridged version today, otherwise it’s not coming out any where close to on time. Had to make up on sleep today because I chased yesterday, but hey, at least I saw a cool storm! (by East Coast standards)

1-3 Day

Friday – Wyoming

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 0-2 – CONFIDENCE: High
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Saturday – Southern Mid-Atlantic

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 0-2 – CONFIDENCE: High
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Sunday – South-central Kansas, western Oklahoma, Texas Panhandle

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 2-5 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: None

4-7 Day

Monday – Central and southern Plains

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 3-7 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Tuesday – Central and southern Plains

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 3-7 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Wednesday – Central and southern Plains

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 2-5 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Thursday – Northern and central High Plains

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 1-4 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None