Tornado Threat Forecast

Tornado Threat Forecast: May 7-13, 2019

The next few days will be active across the southern U.S., with a multi-day tornado outbreak expected. The tornado activity is forecast to fade quickly as we head into the weekend.

Last tornado threat forecast until June! The U.S. Tornadoes crew will be heading out to the Plains next week for #chasecation2019. Hopefully Mother Nature will treat us to some nice storms, unlike the travesty that was #chasecation2017. We will be doing our typical daily chase blogs while on the road.

Too many chores to make sure are done before heading out, so we’ve got an abridged version for today. Who knew owning a house came with so much extra work?!

1-3 Day

Tuesday – Central and southern Plains

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 15-40 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: Texas Panhandle, western Oklahoma

Wednesday – Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 10-25 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Thursday – Texas, Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 8-20 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

4-7 Day

Friday – Western and central Gulf Coast

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 2-5 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Saturday – Eastern Texas, Lower Mississippi Valley, western Southeast

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 3-8 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Sunday – Southern High Plains

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 0-2 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

Monday – Southern High Plains

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 1-4 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None

The following two tabs change content below.
Operational Meteorologist at WeatherBug (Earth Networks). See full bio.

Latest posts by Mark Ellinwood (see all)

Mark Ellinwood

Operational Meteorologist at WeatherBug (Earth Networks). See full bio.

Share
Published by
Mark Ellinwood

Recent Posts

The Storm Doctor: Dr. Jason Persoff

Jason Persoff, MD, SFHM, is recognized globally for his expertise in storm chasing. He earned…

3 months ago

Top tornado videos of 2023

Tornado numbers were near or above average. A chase season peak in June provided numerous…

4 months ago

March 31, 2023 tornado outbreak videos

One of the more widespread tornado outbreaks in years, from Iowa and Illinois to Arkansas.

1 year ago

Spring 2023 seasonal tornado outlook

The active start of the year could be a sign, but a mid-March pattern change…

1 year ago

Top tornado videos of 2022

A near average year for tornadoes across the country, with a cool season bend. We've…

1 year ago

Andover, Kansas struck by intense damaging tornado

The twister quickly popped up near sunset and rapidly turned violent.

2 years ago